Was i cheated?

mollekake · 2014-02-01 08:12:40

Hello everybody.
Yesterday, or today, idk, i was robbed in a very strange way.
The robber went straight towards my vault on first try.
The house has several commitment gates that lead to dead ends. and cat traps that lead to death.

I didn't loose much because this was a first-time house with only 300$ total.

I recorded it with Fraps, look here for video:
http://youtu.be/ZNSQEn6102w

Any idea how he knew?

RockyBst · 2014-02-01 08:17:18

It's not a particularly complicated house, the odds of someone getting it right might be 1/20 (I'm too lazy to watch the video and calculate ). You get enough people through the door, someone will manage it.

jere · 2014-02-01 08:17:43

To be honest, I don't think it is strange. They took the first door.... you should expect that most of the time. Then they picked the 3rd door (which was right). The chances they could guess correctly are really high. Maybe 20-30%.

mollekake · 2014-02-01 08:22:54

Yes it is a very easy house. But the fact that he did not even go to the other doors, at all, not one step not neccessary makes me wonder.
He took some chances, yet no one else never did, no one died in that house, everyone checked here and there and left, then this guy comes along and nails it.

arakira · 2014-02-01 08:25:49

Well, one chance out of 2 at the entrance, then 4 doors, then 3 doors, that makes one chance out of 24 in total. It is very possible to by lucky here, especially if you get robbed often (usually I get visitors more than 24 times in a single hour). So this may be just a lucky guy among 23...

GoogleFrog · 2014-02-01 08:26:05

That looks legitimate to me. Has anyone scouted your house previously?

mollekake · 2014-02-01 08:34:01

Bunch of people went into it, no one died, and everyone left, not leaving tools behind.
But i didn't look through all the videos, so someone might have had a bunch of water with them and figured it out.
Might be a lucky guy, but i just don't understand why he would not look anywhere else or not even go by the other 3 doors.

Oh well

ChartaBona · 2014-02-01 10:02:40

If he was cheating, he wouldn't have brought $1200 worth of tools. He had something like a 1 in 3 chance of finding your vault. Here's why:

@ doorway. Trap vs hallway. Hallway probably goes to wife behind pitbulls. Proceed across trap.
Take first door.
Take rightmost door.
Find Safe.

Last edited by ChartaBona (2014-02-01 10:03:32)

mollekake · 2014-02-01 10:21:14

Yeah i guess. He would probably have gotten there at some point with all those tools

The Castle Doctrine Forums

#1 2014-02-01 08:12:40

Was i cheated?

#2 2014-02-01 08:17:18

Re: Was i cheated?

#3 2014-02-01 08:17:43

Re: Was i cheated?

#4 2014-02-01 08:22:54

Re: Was i cheated?

#5 2014-02-01 08:25:49

Re: Was i cheated?

#6 2014-02-01 08:26:05

Re: Was i cheated?

#7 2014-02-01 08:34:01

Re: Was i cheated?

#8 2014-02-01 10:02:40

Re: Was i cheated?

#9 2014-02-01 10:21:14

Re: Was i cheated?

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